Vancouver Real Estate Report 2025: Comprehensive Market Analysis

Historical Sales Data

  • 2024: Over 40,000 sales in Greater Vancouver and Fraser Valley.
  • 2021: Pandemic peak with 70,000 sales.
  • 20-Year Average: Just under 50,000 sales.
  • Current Reality: Weak sales volumes comparable to global financial crisis levels.

Current Market Challenges

  • Rapid population growth in Greater Vancouver.
  • Sales volumes remain low despite increased demand.
  • Unique challenges in various market segments.

Pre-Construction Market Insights

  • 2021 Boom: High pre-construction sales now facing challenges.
  • 2025 Outlook: Units purchased at peak prices are often undervalued, leading to appraisal shortfalls and potential closing issues.

Rental Market Dynamics

  • Rents declined by 8-10% in the past year.
  • Excess supply and declining demand due to federal projections of zero population growth.

Investment Outlook

  • Limited growth expected in prices and rents.
  • Ongoing construction may further depress rental values.

Pre-Construction Sales Forecast

  • 2024: Over 7,000 pre-construction units sold.
  • 2025: Developers are expected to face significant challenges launching new projects.

Condo Market Analysis

  • Around six months of inventory, signalling a buyer’s market.
  • Investor demand is anticipated to remain weak.

Bullish Market Segments

  • Strong demand for entry-level three-bedroom townhouses and single-family homes.
  • Ongoing need for “missing middle” housing for young families in Vancouver.

Single-Family Housing Trends

  • Single-family housing starts at historical lows.
  • Increasing shift toward duplexes and multiplexes due to densification efforts.
  • High construction costs limit new single-family builds.

Mortgage Rates and Market Impact

  • Fixed mortgage rates in the low 4% range, slightly below variable rates.
  • Rates remain closely tied to bond market movements.

Additional Market Factors

  • New BC flipping tax labelled as politically motivated with minimal impact on affordability.
  • Flipping activity at historical lows.

Future Market Outlook
The Vancouver real estate report 2025 predicts a volatile year with both challenges and opportunities. Pre-construction and investor-driven condos will face hurdles, while single-family homes and entry-level townhouses offer potential.

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